34 Comments

I like your enthusiasm. Don’t know much about DeSantis. The little I’ve heard and your portrayal make him a strong contender if reason and sanity count.

I have a feeling ‘reproductive rights’ will decide the 2024 election, in which case the Republican nomination might be irrelevant.

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I’m a woman and I love trump. Wouldn’t marry him but so what ? He is what he is and he doesn’t lie about it and all the right people hate him. I’m fine with DeSantis too

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As to Ron DeSantis having a "great ground game" there is a ton of data that says that is not only not true, but he is losing ground.

Donald J Trump won the 2016 POTUS Florida election with 4.6MM votes v Clinton w/ 4.5MM votes. Not a landslide. There were 4.5MM registered Republicans in 2017 and there were 4.8MM registered Dems.

Ron DeSantis won the 2018 Florida Gov race with 4.1MM votes beating his confused opponent by 33,000 votes.

DJT won the 2020 POTUS Florida election with 5.7MM votes v Biden at 5.3MM votes. Trump increased his winning margin and also got 1.1MM more votes than in 2016.

Ron DeSantis won the 2022 Florida Gov race with 4.6MM votes beating Charlie Crist by 1.5MM votes -- a huge improvement in the margin of victory, but not as substantial an increase in total votes as Trump in 2016 v 2022. In 4 years he picked up half of what Trump did.

In the background, Florida had a total of 14.6MM registered voters in 2020 and 14.5MM in 2022 -- registered voters in total went DOWN while Republicans surpassed Dems in 2021 -- right after the 2020 POTUS election. This is attributable to the State Republican Party's voter registration campaigns associated w/ POTUS races.

If Ron DeSantis had a great ground game, it would show up somewhere in the numbers -- votes or registrations.

Clearly the improvement in Florida for Republicans -- which is not nearly as large as they would have you believe -- is driven by the juice and money surrounding POTUS elections and not anything done by DeSantis.

These are just numbers, but they are convincing.

JLM

www.themusingsofthebigredcar.com

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Ron DeSantis is missing the one big ingredient necessary to unseat DJ Trump, charisma. He is currently the negative charisma. If someone with charisma shakes Ron DeS's hand, they lose charisma. He is a charisma sink (thermodynamics reference).

DeSantis has a Florida country club kind of Ivy League competitive zeal and he is running into a malicious, toxic kind of New York bare knuckles malignant churlishness that you only have one chance to overcome. Trump put a knock out blow on Jeb Bush and Jeb never recovered.

As to his campaign prowess, the launch says all that needs to be said. It was a stone cold, flop sweat disaster. You do not get a Mulligan on the launch. [Tim Scott did a fabulous job on launching.]

From a policy perspective, DeSantis doesn't have any real convictions, witness his huge swing and miss on the whole Ukraine situation. I cannot support him for his Ukraine stance alone. Amateur hour.

What policies he does have are just Trump policies with a new box and ribbon -- which is fine with me. I like Trump's policies. I even like them if they are DeSantis policies.

You give DeSantis credit for a lot of things with no evidence to back them up. There is no evidence Ron DeSantis is anything other than a Bush Yale Harvard conventional Republican who has hijacked a ton of Trump policies -- which is fine. He is, however, no visionary leader or inspirational orator -- Reagan being my exemplar. He is no seasoned brawler. He will get better, but right now, he is Jeb Bush.

You misunderstand the entire primary voting process. Fewer than 10% of Republican voters participate in the primaries. Here is Trump's killer edge -- his folks are angry zealots and they will show up to vote in the primaries. He has an established national organization and DeSantis can't launch without spilling the ketchup on his shirt.

This is just mechanical. It has nothing to do with the fundamental merits of his candidacy.

The biggest positives for DeSantis are Trump's negatives.

1. Trump is Trump and DeSantis is not.

In fairness to DeSantis, he is a well-educated jock with a great career arc including Navy JagOff, Congress X 3, and a two term Governor of an important and successful state.

He is exactly the kind of guy who should be President.

2. The Dark Forces are going to indict and convict Trump. We haven't seen anything yet. The Dems will pull out all the stops. They have the complete support of the DOJ and the FBI. It is a tribal war and they intend to do whatever it takes to get Trump. They will get him.

3. Trump is old at 76 and DeSantis is still a kid at 44, maybe even too young. He has to play like he's the energetic one. Right now, Trump looks fleeter of foot.

DeSantis cannot win, but Trump can lose. I think he will.

JLM

www.themusingsofthebigredcar.com

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May 25, 2023Liked by Virgil

“Miss Lindsey”

😂

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deletedMay 25, 2023Liked by Virgil
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